Peter Kellner of YouGov on the General Election

YouGov's Peter Kellner with FPA President Paola Totaro

YouGov President Peter Kellner told FPA members he had never before felt so uncertain about the outcome of a General Election. Looking at the polls he was prepared to predict the following numbers: Conservatives would win 293 seats; Labour 277; Lib-Dems 30. He thought UKIP might win about 5 seats and the SNP 23 seats. These figures, he said, would of course be wrong and to make election night even more excruciating fun, a difference in any direction of about 10 seats could change everything. The election was going to be very tense and very tight and he would be very surprised if there was outright victory for either Conservatives or Labour. These figures, though, indicated another Conservative/Liberal Democrat coalition government after May the 7th.